Most real estate PE funds distribute quarterly based on estimates. At year-end, controllers reconcile those estimates against actual performance and calculate the true-up: the difference between what was distributed and what should have been distributed for the full year.

Why Quarterly Estimates Drift

Quarterly distributions rely on available data at the time: current NAV, accrued income, projected expenses. By year-end, final property valuations, audit adjustments, realized versus unrealized gains, and expense true-ups change the numbers. The cumulative drift across four quarters can be material, especially in funds with capital events or disposition proceeds mid-year.

What the True-Up Process Looks Like

Step 1: Recalculate the full-year waterfall using final, audited numbers. Step 2: Compare the full-year result to the sum of quarterly distributions already made. Step 3: The difference is the true-up amount, which is either paid out (if underdistributed) or offset against the next distribution (if overdistributed). Step 4: Update capital accounts and lock the record. This process typically happens in January or February, often under time pressure from annual audit deadlines.

Year-End True-Up: Quarterly vs Full-Year Reconciling quarterly estimates to audited full-year results Q1 $500K Q2 $550K Q3 $525K Q4 $575K Sum: $2.15M Full-Year Calc (Audited) $2.18M Gap: $30K Step 1: Recalculate full-year waterfall Step 2: Compare to quarterly sum Step 3: Settle the delta Quarterly distributions (estimated)

The year-end true-up is where quarterly shortcuts get corrected. Having a clean record of each quarterly distribution, with the assumptions behind it, makes the reconciliation faster and the audit defense simpler.

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